Finance

Emerging markets are getting hammered

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man china hammer
Reuters

This is what it looks like when investors run screaming from one part of the world to another.

Money has started flying out of emerging markets to safer assets in developed economies.

No fewer than 17 emerging-market countries have seen their currency fall 3% or more since Monday, according to Jim Reid at Deutsche Bank.

The list includes Russia, Ghana, Guinea, Colombia, Belarus, Turkey, Malaysia, and Algeria.

Societe Generale strategists said: "Emerging market currencies and commodity prices are in a ‘death spiral' that is destroying central banks' efforts to bring inflation back to long-term targets."

The cost of insuring emerging-market sovereign debt against default jumped on Thursday, with the composite spread on emerging markets moving to 363 basis points at the close on Thursday, according to Markit. Credit-default swap spreads on the likes of Kazakhstan, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, and Lebanon all jumped more than 20 basis points. 

Investors have been pulling money out of emerging-market debt funds, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch. The bank said that the exodus is the worst since January 2014. There has also been seven straight weeks of outflows from emerging-market equity funds, totaling $26 billion, according to the bank.

Emerging market debt
EM debt.  BAML

"EM bonds are getting beaten like a red headed stepchild," one trader told Business Insider.

He said "all hell broke loose."

Here's why: China's economic slow down and currency devaluation have taken a toll on economies that depend on Chinese demand to sell their commodities.

The Chinese property market has slowed, and the country's August purchasing manager index (PMI) came in at a disappointing 47.1 on Friday, down from July's 48.2 — the lowest level since March 2009. Anything below a read of 50 indicates that the manufacturing sector is contracting.

That's putting pressure on already record-low commodity prices, making the outlook in exporting countries like Brazil and Nigeria look pretty dark.

bloomberg commodities index
The Bloomberg Commodities Index.  Bloomberg

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Linette was a senior correspondent at Business Insider who focused her writing on tech, finance and economics as well as international relations. She also conducted investigations into controversial companies, like Tesla.She joined BI in the summer of 2011 after graduating from Columbia University's School of Journalism and holds a BA from Columbia University, where she finished her undergraduate education in 2008.In 2017 she won the Folio 'Rising Star' award for top women in media. In 2020 she won the 'Excellence in Financial Journalism' Award in opinion writing from NYSSCPA for a piece on US-China relations, 'The Huawei indictment marks the end of US and China's cycle of trust.' In 2023 she won the New York Press Club award for commentary in digital journalism for a series of stories about the stock market's decline in 2022.She contributes to "Marketplace," a radio show from American Public Media, and can be seen on MSNBC and CNN.Some stories by Linette: