Politics

New poll shows Le Pen solidifying her 1st round lead but ultimately losing to Macron in French elections

By Jim Edwards
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  • Marine Le Pen leads in new poll of French voters prior to first-round elections on April 23.
  • But IFOP/Fiducial poll predicts she would be crushed in the second-round runoff.

A new poll of voters in the upcoming French elections shows National Front candidate Marine Le Pen solidifying her lead as the most popular politician in France in the first round of votes. But the same poll shows her ultimately losing to Emmanuel Macron, the social/liberal candidate, in the second round runoff.

Tracking results from the IPOF/Fiducial/Paris Match/iTele/Sud Radio poll look like this:

france
Paris-Match / IFOP

Macron, running on the En Marche! platform, has seen his popularity slip as a first-round candidate. But he is still ahead of third-place Francois Fillon (Republican), and thus will make it through to the second-round runoff between the top two candidates, the poll suggests.

At that point, however, tactical voters to the left of Le Pen form an apparently insurmountable obstacle to her chances of winning, and Macron becomes president by a margin of 62%-38%:

France
IFOP / Paris Match

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Jim Edwards
Jim Edwards
Jim is the former editor-in-chief of Insider's news division.Previously he was the founding editor of Business Insider UK.He has also been managing editor at Adweek, an advertising columnist at CBS Interactive, and a Knight-Bagehot Fellow at Columbia Business School. His work has appeared in Slate, Salon, The Independent, MTV, The Nation and AOL.His investigative journalism changed the law in the US First Circuit Court of Appeals (U.S. v. Kravetz), the Third Circuit Court of Appeals (North Jersey Media v. Ashcroft), New Jersey (In Re El-Atriss), and New York State (Mosallem v. Berenson).The US Supreme Court cited his work on the death penalty in the concurrence to Baze v. Rees, on the issue of whether lethal injection is cruel or unusual.He won the Neal award for business journalism in 2005 for a series investigating bribes and kickbacks in the advertising business.Here's a selection of his past stories:   • The alleged betrayal in these photos, texts, and emails cost Snapchat $158 million   • Inside the conspiracy that forced Dov Charney out of American Apparel   • The Evolution of Ev: The creator of Twitter, Blogger, and Medium has a plan to fix the mess he made of the internet   • THE "KNOCK-IN SHORT": Nigel Farage and the massive bet against the pound on the night of the Brexit vote   • eBay worked with the FBI to put its top affiliate marketer in prison   • How Dunkin Donuts ended up hiring a psychotic credit card thief as director of communications   • BEJEWELED: The definitive, illustrated history of the most underrated game ever   • The CEO of Publicis told us how he stared down a furious internal rebellion to bet the future of his $11 billion company on artificial intelligence   • FBX: The billion-dollar Facebook business that never happened   • The €150 million check-kiting scam that bankrupted Leo Burnett in Greece   • My Polaroids of the September 11 attacks led me into America's secret court system for terrorist suspects   • YouTube deleted 130 rap videos to help police fight street gangs responsible for thousands of stabbingsDisclosure: I own shares of Twitter (TWTR).
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