Strategy

Here's Proof That Optimism Can Actually Ruin Your Chances Of Success

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Too much optimism leads to inaction, says NYU psychologist Gabriele Oettingen.  AP

New York University psychologist Gabriele Oettingen has studied grad students trying to find jobs, hip-replacement patients re-learning how to walk, and women in a weight-reduction program trying to lose a few pounds.

In each case, study participants used positive thinking — imagining themselves reaching their goals — as a motivator.

And the results weren't so positive. 

"A year later, I checked in on these women [from the weight-loss study]," Oettingen writes in the New York Times, and "the more positively women had imagined themselves in these scenarios, the fewer pounds they had lost."

As that study and others of Oettingen's found, positive thinking makes people feel comfortable with their present state.

Too comfortable.

Dreaming of the future "can drain you of the energy you need to take action in pursuit of your goals," she says. "Positive thinking fools our minds into perceiving that we've already attained our goal, slackening our readiness to pursue it."

But the more motivating mindset isn't focusing on what could go wrong. Her research has shown that dwelling on obstacles is a rather ineffective form of planning.

Instead, the most effective planners use a balance of optimism and pessimism. 

This can come from an exercise that Oettingen calls "mental contrasting," where you imagine your goals as well as the barriers keeping you from them. She explores the exercise in her new book, "Rethinking Positive Thinking: Inside the New Science of Motivation."

Here's her take on how mental contrasting works:

Think of a wish. For a few minutes, imagine the wish coming true, letting your mind wander and drift where it will. Then shift gears. Spend a few more minutes imagining the obstacles that stand in the way of realizing your wish.

As simple as it sounds, the exercise yields some striking results. 

Oettingen has found that people who use mental contrasting stick to their exercise plans better, recover from back pain faster, and handle stress at work more effectively.

The business takeaway: Positive thinking can rein in your sense of urgency, and, as Malcolm Gladwell showed with Steve Jobs, urgency can be the difference between losing and winning big.

So, instead, think about what could be and how you'll navigate your way there.

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Drake Baer was Business Insider's editor-at-large, working across the newsroom to help produce ambitious journalism. For two and a half years before that, Baer served as deputy editor, overseeing a team of 20+ reporters and editors who cover the future of work, real estate, and small business. The fast-paced team was behind some of Insider's major packages in the last few years, including a state-by-state look into unemployment during the first year of the pandemic and in-depth profiles of "niche famous" characters such as real estate media tycoon Brandon Turner and HR icon Johnny C Taylor. They shed new light on big names, like Joe Biden, America's imperfect leader. He also cultivated thesis-oriented ideas journalism, whether it be on why "'diversity' and 'inclusion' are the emptiest words in corporate America" or why it's actually a horrible time to buy a house. (No, really, it is.) Before editing, his byline as a reporter was on the masthead for Fast Company and New York Magazine, covering the many intersections of social science, business, and economics. Baer has interviewed some our time's leading minds, including philanthropist Bill Gates, FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver, NBA champion and investor Steph Curry, "growth mindset" psychologist Carol Dweck, the rapper Q-Tip, Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman, and the man who gave a name to "disruptive innovation," the late Clay Christensen.Baer has published two books, the most recent being Perception: How Our Bodies Shape Our Minds, with Dennis Proffitt. In 2014, New York Times bestselling author and Wharton professor Adam Grant highlighted his first book, Everything Connects, as one of the 12 business books to read that year. He has been featured as a speaker at the Aspen Ideas Festival, presented at TedX Princeton, and moderated many panels.