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'Catastrophic' flooding expected as Hurricane Florence dumps rain over the Carolina coast

Hurricane Florence
This satellite image provided by NOAA shows Hurricane Florence off the eastern coast of the United States on Thursday, Sept. 13, 2018. NOAA via AP
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For the most up-to-date information on Hurricane Florence now that the storm has hit, please visit our live updates page.

Hurricane Florence's center made landfall in North Carolina Friday morning after it was downgraded to a Category 1 storm late Thursday night, with sustained winds topping 90 mph.

The storm knocked out electricity services to more than 150,000 customers in North Carolina. Beaufort, Carteret, Craven, Onslow, Pamlico and Pender counties were most affected by the outages late Thursday night, North Carolina Emergency Management reported.

"If you are in the path of Florence, please stay safe and take shelter today," FEMA said on Twitter Thursday. "Communicate with family and friends. Let them know where you are and how you’ll stay in touch."

The NHC has issued hurricane and storm surge warnings for the coastal areas between the South Santee River in South Carolina and Duck, North Carolina as well as Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds. 

Powerful waves and walls of water have moved inland, bringing flooding. North Carolina's barrier islands, from Cape Fear to Cape Lookout could see the biggest storm surge: between 7 and 11 feet.

Much of the rest of the Carolina coastline, from the Virginia border down to Edisto Beach, South Carolina is under hurricane and storm surge watch. Hurricane-force winds extend up to 80 miles from Florence's center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles.

Hurricane Florence Track
National Hurricane Center

"This is a very serious storm. The power could go out for many weeks," Brock Long, the administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, said Thursday morning.

Florence was expected to slow down considerably, according to the NHC, meaning it will likely sit over the Carolinas late into the weekend, pounding the area near the shore with rain.

Evacuation orders

Around 5.25 million people live in areas under hurricane warnings or watches, and 4.9 million live in places covered by tropical storm warnings or watches, the National Weather Service said, per The Associated Press

"Storm surge is why many of you have been placed under evacuation, and we are asking citizens to please heed the warning. Your time is running out," Long said.

hurricane florence potential destruction map infographic
Shayanne Gal/Business Insider

Five states declared states of emergency ahead of the storm: Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, and Maryland, along with Washington, DC.

Evacuation orders were issued in one of South Carolina's four coastal counties. Virginia's governor, Ralph Northam, issued a mandatory evacuation order for residents of the state's low-lying coastal areas as well. In North Carolina, evacuations were ordered in Dare County, which includes the Outer Banks, as well as other coastal counties, according to The Observer

Hurricane Florence beach sand
Homes on North Topsail Beach, North Carolina, on September 12, 2018.  Chuck Burton/AP

The storm could leave thousands of buildings flooded. Duke Energy, the Carolinas' major power supplier, said up to 3 million customers could lose power, perhaps for weeks, according to The New York Times

"This may be a marathon, not a sprint," Cooper added.

Read More: The 14 most important things you should do to prepare for a hurricane

The latest Florence forecast

Florence is currently a Category 1 hurricane, meaning it has maximum wind speeds between 74 and 95 mph. 

Predicting hurricane paths is a difficult science, and there are still uncertainties about this storm's track. But if predictions hold, Florence will move over South Carolina and western North Carolina, followed by eastern Kentucky and Tennessee. 

The chart below shows the probability that an area that will see winds of at least 39 mph. The area in purple corresponds to a 90% or higher probability of experiencing those gusts.

Hurricane Florence
National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Florence is predicted to slow over the Carolinas, where rainfall totals could reach 40 inches.

Heavy rain, up to 10 inches, may extend as far inland as Charlotte, North Carolina's largest city, and Raleigh, its capital. The NHC also said the storm's effects — including rain, high winds, rip currents, and tidal surges — would most likely be felt outside the "cone of probability" and could extend hundreds of miles from the storm's center.

Sluggish or stalled hurricanes — like Hurricane Harvey, which flooded swaths of Houston, Texas, and the Gulf Coast last year — can become even more dangerous as they stick around, pouring rain.

These types of slow-moving hurricanes are becoming more frequent. Recent research from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration found that storms had slowed by an average of 10% over land between 1949 and 2016. 

5 major us hurricanes compared
Samantha Lee/Business Insider

Read more: Why the deluge from Hurricane Florence could could be so intense

Other storms are churning as well

There are three other named storms in the Atlantic right now. Tropical Depression Isaac has weakened, with maximum sustained winds near 35 mph.

Tropical Storm Helene is accelerating northward with wind speeds of 65 mph. Forecasters say it could pass near the Azores, an autonomous region of Portugal, over the weekend. A tropical storm warning has been issued for all of the Azores.

Tropical Storm Joyce was upgraded from subtropical status late Thursday night. It has sustained wind speeds of 40 mph.

Meanwhile, in the Pacific Ocean, Super Typhoon Mangkhut is expected to make landfall in the Philippines on Saturday. It has sustained wind speeds of to 180 mph, and could be bigger and stronger than Florence when it hits land. Nearly 37 million people could be in its path, and the storm has prompted mass evacuations in the Philippines and China. 

Read more of Business Insider's hurricane coverage:

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Bryan was a former senior editor on the West Coast news team who joined Insider in January 2015. He built the West Coast news division from a staff of one to a team of 12, expanding its footprint from San Francisco to Los Angeles and Sydney, Australia, from 2015 to 2018. In 2019, Bryan took over leadership duties on Insider's transportation desk, successfully growing the team from four full-time journalists to a group of eight reporters, two correspondents, and an associate editor in less than a year. Under his leadership, the transportation team broke stories on TeslaNASA, and United Airlines. It produced extensive coverage of the SpaceX Demo-2 launchprofiled Ford CEO Jim Hackett on the future of the legacy automaker, and launched a quarterly series spotlighting the next phases in the world of mobility. Bryan was also part of the inaugural team that launched Insider's revamped IGNITION conferencehosting the titans of the transportation, tech, and mobility industries in San Francisco. In 2020, Bryan rejoined Insider's news desk to oversee the expansion the West Coast bureau, which includes reporters in Hawaii and an office in Singapore.  Bryan is an LA native who began his career in talk radio and also anchored weekend news coverage for an NPR affiliate in San Diego.
Jeremy is the founder and editor-in-chief of Cultivated Media, a newsletter bringing readers inside the emerging cannabis industry. Beyond his reporting, Jeremy is studying for his MBA at Columbia Business School and holds a certificate in cannabis pharmacology from the University of Vermont where he studied as a cannabis media fellow. Jeremy was formerly a senior reporter at Insider where he focused on the cannabis industryJeremy has covered the bumpy rollout of Canada's cannabis legalization, the boom in cannabis companies going public (and the resulting fallout), multibillion-dollar mergers between cannabis companies and corporations from other industries, the ongoing health effects from vaporizers, the mislabeling of CBD products, and how the world's largest financial, legal, and political institutions are reacting to and planning for legalization. He has also gotten scoops and broken news on layoffs affecting cannabis companies, startups raising money, banks and law firms building specialized cannabis practices, tracked which companies and individuals are profiting from cannabis, and profiled some of the top executives, investors, and leaders in the industry.He is a sought-after expert on cannabis business and policy, frequently speaking to the media and at industry conferences.
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Hilary Brueck
Hilary Brueck is a Health Correspondent at Business Insider, where she covers longevity and the quest to improve human aging. She also writes regularly about the complexities of diagnosing and treating cancer, the evolving landscape of GLP-1 drugs, new developments in exercise science, and expert-backed nutrition adviceIn general, she relishes any opportunity to unpack scientific discoveries or examine the latest consumer trends. Her reports have ranged from exploring how sherpas effortlessly climb into the thin air 29,029 feet above sea level to summit Mount Everest, to trudging along a Jersey shore beach with scientists fighting killer pandemic flu viruses by studying bird butts.She spoke with Dr. Anthony Fauci about his vitamin and supplement routine over a cold slice of pizza, and chatted with the world's oldest Nobel Prize winner in his basement solar lab. She also went an entire month without eating any ultra-processed foods (yes, it was time-consuming and challenging). A graduate of Columbia Journalism School and former Peace Corps Volunteer, Hilary speaks English, French, and Malagasy. Previously, Hilary reported for ABC News Radio, Fortune, Forbes, and Al Jazeera America. In her spare time, she likes to run, hike and she is also an aspiring (but very bad) surfer. If you've got a pressing health question, tip, or concern, reach out to hbrueck@bjinnox.com