Markets

Forget sports betting. Kalshi wants you to wager on sneakers and Labubu dolls.

The plush Labubu toy displayed on a counter
Labubu toys displayed on a counter in the flagship store of Pop Mart in Shanghai, China. credit should read CFOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images
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Think the Labubu craze has legs? You can take that bet now on Kalshi.

The prediction market that helped popularize betting on everything from politics to sports is now offering users the chance to profit by betting on the future price of rare collectibles.

The platform is partnering with StockX, a digital marketplace long favored by collectors who chase hot niche items like rare Air Jordan sneakers and Labubus. They announced the first-ever "product event contracts" on Wednesday.

"The partnership marks the introduction of a new category of event contracts that allow market participants to take positions on measurable product outcomes, such as whether a product will clear a certain resale price threshold a week after its release."

Betting platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket exploded in popularity by allowing people to bet on outcomes of politics, sports, and other big events. Anyone with a smartphone could potentially make money betting on next week's weather or predicting how high Elon Musk's net worth would rise.

Kalshi believes the next frontier of predictive markets lies in rare collectibles.

"Physical collectibles have some of the most hardcore, data-obsessed communities in the world," a Kalshi spokesperson told Business Insider. "Until now, there's never been a liquid global marketplace to price them."

That obsession could ultimately translate into a significant new betting market.

As Business Insider reported, adults have turned collectible toys into a $7 billion industry in the US. The Labubu doll is the wildest recent example, with the craze blowing up into what Business Insider's Katie Notopoulos describes as a "billion-dollar bubble ready to burst."

Kalshi users will be able to place bets on which brands are most likely to be traded during shopping events, as well as the average sale prices prior to releases and the average price at which popular products will sell on a monthly basis.

StockX is home to a wide variety of rare and highly prized items, including Zegna's Triple Stitch sneakers, the shoe that's taken Wall Street by storm. It's not just sneakers, though. Users can find rare Birkenstocks, Crocs, and Dr. Martens, as well as accessories and apparel from popular brands.

"Sneaker, apparel, and collectible drops on StockX have become defining cultural moments with clear, measurable outcomes—the very kind of real-world events Kalshi was built for," said CEO Tarek Mansour. "It's another sign that prediction markets have gone mainstream."

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Samuel O'Brient
Samuel O'Brient is an experienced financial markets and business journalist who has written extensively on a wide range of topics involving economics, technology and public policy. At Business Insider, he covers important macro and micro economic stories, including takes from leading economists and hedge fund managers, breaking IPOscorporate bankruptcies, meme stocks and short-selling. He also writes on other markets such as crypto, oil and real estate.He has interviewed many of the market’s most influential voices, ranging from top economists such as Mark Zandi and Richard Thaler to prominent investors including Danny Moses, Andrew Left, Anthony Scaramucci, Louis Navellier and Grant Cardone.Programs such as LiveNOW from Fox , Taking Stock and Ticker News have had Samuel on to discuss stock market and economic developments. His reporting has been cited by The New York Times DealBook, Bloomberg Radio, Forbes, Entrepreneur, Gizmodo and TheFutureParty.Samuel began at InvestorPlace, covering investing, retail trading and macro economic trends. Prior to joining Business Insider,  he served as a technology markets reporter at TheStreet. He is a graduate of Sarah Lawrence College and Trinity College Dublin.Samuel's work has appeared in publications such as TipRanks, EV and Observer. When he isn't chasing down stories, he can often be found browsing book and record shops. To reach Samuel, email him at sobrient@insider.com or connect with him on LinkedIn. He is also on Signal as Samuel Clemens.