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Cratering oil prices in 2025 are 'dangerously close' to being unprofitable for producers, top investor says

FILE - In this Wednesday, April 8, 2020, file photo, the sun sets behind an idle pump jack near Karnes City, Texas. Demand for oil continues to fall due to the new coronavirus outbreak. As demand for fuel plummeted worldwide and the oil industry faced a devastating drop in oil prices, the U.S. took the rare move of stepping into negotiations involving the member countries of OPEC and non-members such as Russia and Mexico. (AP Photo/Eric Gay, File)
FILE - In this Wednesday, April 8, 2020, file photo, the sun sets behind an idle pump jack near Karnes City, Texas. Associated Press
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Oil prices have been volatile this year, and they've cratered into a dangerous zone that threatens profitability for producers, a top energy investor said this week.

Dwight Scott, executive vice chairman of Quantum Capital Group, told Bloomberg TV this week that at the rate prices are going, they are "dangerously close" to no longer being profitable for producers.

US crude prices are down about 8% this year, trading at $66.68 Thursday morning.

"In the mid-$60s, you get dangerously close to where oil prices don't really drive appropriate returns for new drilling," he said, adding that the industry's rig count has been off for the past two months, referring to the number of active drilling rigs in one area.

In the interview on Wednesday, Scott addressed the oil industry's supply and demand dynamics, laying out what he sees for the future of the industry. President Donald Trump's election was seen as a bullish indicator for the oil and gas sector early in the year but so far, prices have been subject to volatility amid economic uncertainty and high global supply.

Scott added that Trump's drill baby drill" mantra has mostly been moot, as the industry in the US has already been pumping record amounts of crude in recent years. That's part of the reason US producers have been hesitant to keep flooding the market with oil, as even more supply could further depress prices.

Scott said that he believes that the streak of declines is related to uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tariffs. He added, though, that he believes the slump should be temporary, predicting that the US will continue to be a top energy producer.

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Samuel O'Brient
Samuel O'Brient is an experienced financial markets and business journalist who has written extensively on a wide range of topics involving economics, technology and public policy. At Business Insider, he covers important macro and micro economic stories, including takes from leading economists and hedge fund managers, breaking IPOscorporate bankruptcies, meme stocks and short-selling. He also writes on other markets such as crypto, oil and real estate.He has interviewed many of the market’s most influential voices, ranging from top economists such as Mark Zandi and Richard Thaler to prominent investors including Danny Moses, Andrew Left, Anthony Scaramucci, Louis Navellier and Grant Cardone.Programs such as LiveNOW from Fox , Taking Stock and Ticker News have had Samuel on to discuss stock market and economic developments. His reporting has been cited by The New York Times DealBook, Bloomberg Radio, Forbes, Entrepreneur, Gizmodo and TheFutureParty.Samuel began at InvestorPlace, covering investing, retail trading and macro economic trends. Prior to joining Business Insider,  he served as a technology markets reporter at TheStreet. He is a graduate of Sarah Lawrence College and Trinity College Dublin.Samuel's work has appeared in publications such as TipRanks, EV and Observer. When he isn't chasing down stories, he can often be found browsing book and record shops. To reach Samuel, email him at sobrient@insider.com or connect with him on LinkedIn. He is also on Signal as Samuel Clemens.